Fiscal stability & international outlook
- Debt stabilises for the first time in 17 years and will continue to fall
- Budget deficit narrowed to 4.5% of GDP (2025/26), down from 4.8% estimated in 2025
- Gross debt stabilises at 78.9% of GDP in 2025/26, falls to 77.3% in 2026/27, and declines to 76.5% by 2028/29
- South Africa removed from FATF grey list
- First credit rating upgrade secured in 16 years
- Borrowing costs have eased
Economic Outlook
- Real economic growth projected at 1.6% for 2026 (up from 1.4% estimated in 2025)
- Medium-term growth expected to average 1.8%, reaching 2% by 2028
- Global growth is projected to be 3.3%
Fiscal Strategy
- Accelerate public investment to support economic growth
- Improve efficiency of public spending
- Contain public-service wage bill while increasing capital investment
- Entrench sustainable public finances with principles-led fiscal anchor
- Main budget primary surplus reaches 0.9% of GDP in 2025/26, expanding to 1.6% in 2026/27, 1.9% in 2027/28, and 2.3% by 2028/29
Revenue & Tax Measures
- Gross tax revenue revised up by R21.3 billion
- Withdrawal of R20 billion in tax increases from May 2025 Budget
- Personal income tax brackets and rebates adjusted for inflation
- Tax-free investment limit increased from R36,000 to R46,000 annually
- Retirement fund deduction limit raised from R350,000 to R430,000
- Capital gains tax exemption for small business sales increased from R1.8m to R2.7m
- Excise duties on tobacco, alcohol and fuel levies to increase by inflation
Structural Reforms
- Energy: Stabilising electricity supply and building competitive renewable energy market through regulatory reforms
- Logistics: Dismantling rail and port bottlenecks; bolstering public-private rail investment while retaining state ownership
- Local Government: Shifting to performance-linked utility model for water and electricity services
Financial Sector Reforms
- Crypto assets to be included in capital flow management regime
- Easing restrictions on cross-border capital flows for domestic asset managers
- Data infrastructure prioritised as critical national asset
Spending Priorities (2026/27: R2.67 trillion)
- Social wage accounts for 60% of non-interest spending
- Basic education, health and social protection: 70.3% of social wage
- Supporting 13.6 million school children
- Healthcare to 84% of population
- Social grants to 26.5 million beneficiaries
- Social grants allocated R292.8 billion
- Peace and security spending increases to R291.2 billion by 2028/29
- Border Management Authority: Additional R990 million to fill 738 positions
- Defence: R2.7 billion added to improve operations, including to maintain the South African Air Force’s fighter capability; R1 billion to the police service; and R1 billion to the SANDF through the CARA fund for the fight against organised crime
Infrastructure
- Public-sector spending to exceed R1 trillion over medium term
- R577.4 billion by state owned companies and other public entities
- R217.8 billion by provinces
- R205.7 billion by municipalities
- Budget Facility for Infrastructure approved R21.9 billion for five major projects
- Infrastructure bond issued in 2025, raising R11.8 billion
- PRASA rolling stock: R5.8 billion allocated
Special Appropriation
- R1 billion for South Africa’s share subscription to the international finance corporation
- R700 million for the Department of Communications and Digital Technology
Targeted Savings
- Public Transport Network Grant scaled down by R8.4 billion over three years
- Enhanced grant authentication to reduce fraud: R3 billion savings